Wedonttellthetruth 18/1 Headlines Big-Priced Fancies at Kempton as Punters Eye Punchestown Fields
Back to News

Wedonttellthetruth 18/1 Headlines Big-Priced Fancies at Kempton as Punters Eye Punchestown Fields

JHJames Hartford
April 30, 2026

Big Day of Action as Kempton and Punchestown Take Centre Stage

With 43 races spread across Lingfield, Southwell, Yarmouth, Kempton, Redcar, and Punchestown today, punters have plenty of opportunities to find value. Our eyes are firmly fixed on some fascinating contests, including a competitive 24-runner field at Punchestown (16:15) and a strong outsider in Wedonttellthetruth, who goes off at 18/1 in the 20:15 at Kempton.

If you're looking for confident picks, our AI has singled out several high-probability selections, including Mc Blue Cartel (8:30 at Delta Downs, 3/5) and Caldera (1 Mile, Gulfstream Park, 1/1). For full race-by-race breakdowns and betting calculators, check our racecards section and accumulator tips.

Punchestown’s 16:15 – A Marathon 24-Runner Extravaganza

The 16:15 at Punchestown is one for the purists, a mammoth field of 24 lined up to tackle the 2m7f110y on yielding ground. Navigating this chaos requires a sharp eye, and one name that stands out is Ballymacleo at 12/1. Trained by a local expert in staying contests, Ballymacleo has been steadily progressing this season (form: 4-3-1), finishing a game third last time out over 3 miles. The drying ground should suit, and his proven ability to handle large fields gives him leading claims in this tricky endurance test.

Another to watch is the ultra-consistent Hollow Views at 6/1. Trained and ridden by a team boasting a commendable 19% strike rate at this track, Hollow Views ran a blinder in a similar 23-runner contest at Fairyhouse earlier this month. This gelding has form figures of 2-1-2 over distances beyond 2m 5f, and with ground conditions to his liking, he should be in the mix again.

Kempton 20:15 – Wedonttellthetruth Offers Huge Each-Way Value

Over on Kempton’s Polytrack, the 20:15 looks a cracker for punters seeking an outsider. Wedonttellthetruth is hugely intriguing at a massive 18/1. Trained by a yard that thrives under the radar on all-weather surfaces, this gelding has struggled to find his feet since returning from a minor injury setback. However, a closer look at his back class shows a horse who won off 6lbs higher at this very track over 1m last season. With Ray Dawson taking the reins (10% strike rate here over the past year), this could be the day the penny drops again.

Others to note include the favourite Blue Horizon (3/1), who came up short at Chelmsford last time but has been crying out for a step up in trip. At the same time, Storm Gazer (15/2) looks primed for a bold bid after a strong-finishing third at Wolverhampton just eight days ago. For a safer play, an each-way bet on Wedonttellthetruth looks the way to go. Check our each-way selections for more longshot inspiration.

Southwell 19:30 – Beaujolais Nouveau at 14/1

The 19:30 at Southwell offers another chance to land a hefty-priced winner, with Beaujolais Nouveau available at 14/1. This filly has been lightly raced to date but showed a marked improvement when only beaten 3 lengths over 7f here last time in a similar class 5 handicap. Trainer Alan Mullen has a 15% strike rate at Southwell in April races—a notable stat when considering her claims.

The 3/1 favourite Inchrek is respected after an easy win on seasonal debut, but this will be her first attempt over Southwell’s surface, a query that could leave her vulnerable to improvers like Beaujolais Nouveau.

Punchestown 15:40 – Extreme Stamina Test Over 4m 1f 11y

Marathon chasers have their work cut out in the 15:40, with plenty of exposed stayers entered over this grueling trip. As the field tackles the yielding ground, our nod goes to the veteran Keep Going Forward at 7/1. He’s been a model of consistency in long-distance handicaps, and his third-place finish in this same race last year is a significant pointer.

Meanwhile, the unexposed Dawn’s Delight (5/1) represents a serious threat on just her second attempt over marathon distances. Trained by a yard enjoying a 25% win strike rate over the past two weeks, this progressive sort could improve past several more experienced rivals.

Value Bets and Long-Shot Fancies

For those seeking longer-priced options, here are our top fancies:

  • Wedonttellthetruth – 18/1 in Kempton’s 20:15. A solid each-way play with hidden potential.
  • Beaujolais Nouveau – 14/1 in Southwell’s 19:30. Trainer stats and surface suitability make this runner appealing.
  • Celestias Comet – 14/1 in Kempton’s 19:15. Could spring a surprise in a tricky 14-runner contest.

For an easy way to calculate your returns from each-way punts, use our handy betting calculator.

Best Bets Summary

Here’s our shortlist for today’s standout betting opportunities:

  • Ballymacleo – 12/1 at Punchestown (16:15). Strong form in staying contests.
  • Hollow Views – 6/1 at Punchestown (16:15). Consistent stayer with plenty in favour.
  • Wedonttellthetruth – 18/1 at Kempton (20:15). Seriously overpriced on back class.
  • Beaujolais Nouveau – 14/1 at Southwell (19:30). Sneaky each-way potential in open handicap.
  • Caldera – 1/1 at Gulfstream Park (1:54). High-confidence selection abroad.

For full race previews and today’s latest non-runners, check our full list of runners or stay up to date with fast results.

Looking Ahead

As always, tomorrow promises another busy day, with advance selections already live on our tomorrow tips page. Don't miss your chance to get ahead of the market movers!