New Zealand 4/7: A Banker in the 14:40 at Epsom Downs?
The pick of the day comes in the 14:40 at Epsom Downs, where New Zealand lines up as the standout AI-backed selection at a prohibitive 4/7. This 1m 2f 17y contest on good-to-firm going has all the makings of another polished performance from the Aidan O'Brien-trained colt, with Ryan Moore booked for the ride. The three-year-old boasts impeccable credentials, having placed in a Group 3 at Leopardstown before bolting up at Navan in maiden company. It’s clear O'Brien has his eye on bigger prizes down the line, but this intermediate test looks a perfect stepping stone. The AI system is bullish about New Zealand's prospects, with a staggering 92% confidence level and a calculated expected value (EV) of +18.0%. He faces just six rivals, the majority of whom lack the proven class at this trip. Don’t overthink it; this looks as close to a banker as you’ll ever find.
For more information on this race, check the full racecard here.
Nevasca Cinza at Evens in Yarmouth’s 14:47: A Worthy Favourite?
Over at Yarmouth, punters should take note of Nevasca Cinza in the 14:47 over 6f 3y on good-to-firm going. This John and Thady Gosden-trained stayer drops back in trip after an eye-catching performance last time out at Kempton. Despite finishing third, the gelding was closing strongly in the final two furlongs. The booking of Daniel Muscutt is a positive, and at 1/1, the market suggests he’ll be hard to beat. Confidence is high at 85%, aligning with a solid EV of +13.3%. However, with seven rivals, including the capable veteran Kosmiche, caution may be warranted if the odds contract further. You can see all today's AI tips here.
Kitzbuhel 11/10: The Class Act in Punchestown’s 16:50
The jumps action today centres around Punchestown, and the 16:50 3m 213y cross-country event features another high-confidence AI selection in Kitzbuhel. At 11/10, Willie Mullins’ charge is no gift, but his form speaks volumes. A step up in trip on yielding ground is the perfect scenario for this dual Grade 2 winner, and with Paul Townend in the saddle, tactical errors seem unlikely. The AI model gives Kitzbuhel an 84% confidence rating and an EV of +12.7%. With only eight runners, multiple each-way options dry up, but Kitzbuhel should make short work of his opposition. Get the full preview of this race at Punchestown here.
Value Bets: Long-Shots Worth Considering
While the AI selections at short prices dominate today’s pulse, there are a few intriguing long-shots that warrant your attention. At Lingfield in the 18:50, Crimson Dawn screams out at 250/1. While that may seem fanciful, this 45% AI confidence is unusually strong for such a massive price. Similarly, Fizzy Bear in the Epsom 14:05 offers excellent each-way value at 20/1. Hollie Doyle takes the ride on the in-form gelding, who shapes as one to run into the frame on good-to-firm ground. To learn how much you stand to win, use our betting calculator.
Accumulator Angles: Building a Banker Bet
If you’re looking to string together some of today’s strongest fancies, an accumulator involving New Zealand (4/7), Nevasca Cinza (1/1), and Kitzbuhel (11/10) could yield a very respectable return. These selections represent the best of Tuesday’s action. Fancy something riskier? Toss in Fizzy Bear at 20/1 for a speculative punt. See more recommendations in today’s accumulator tips.
Competitive Races to Avoid?
The massive 27-runner field in the Punchestown 15:05 (2m 3f 81y) screams unpredictability, and punters should tread carefully here. With yielding conditions testing stamina and such field sizes leaving plenty of potential for interference, this is a race that feels ripe for a surprise winner. Take a cautious approach, but if you fancy a flyer, check out the latest odds on today’s full list of runners.
Best Bets Summary for Tuesday 28th April 2026
- NAP: New Zealand (Epsom Downs 14:40) – 4/7
- NB: Nevasca Cinza (Yarmouth 14:47) – 1/1
- Each-Way: Fizzy Bear (Epsom Downs 14:05) – 20/1
- Long-Shot: Crimson Dawn (Lingfield 18:50) – 250/1
- Accumulator: New Zealand, Nevasca Cinza, Kitzbuhel – 4.85/1
Never miss a trick—whether it’s the latest results, late non-runners, or tomorrow’s early tips. Be sure to keep an eye on latest results and non-runners as the day progresses. Finally, if you're planning for tomorrow, don't miss tomorrow’s early selections.
